Smashwords Top 25 Best Sellers – Lessons From The Successful Investor

Investing
Smashwords Top 25 Best Sellers Lessons From The Successful Investor

Smashwords Top 25 Best Sellers Lessons From The Successful Investor

I am pleased to announce that Lessons From The Successful Investor is the 7th Best Seller on Smashwords Top 25 Best Sellers of all time.

Promotion: FREE e-book – Lessons From The Successful Investor

Marketing

My previous promotion to download Lessons From The Successful Investor free ended October 4, 2010. But as book sales shoot through the roof (1000 downloads on October 7th!), I’m bringing back the promotion. This new coupon code will last until Christmas 2010 – It’s a gift to my future readers! Please find details below:

Free Coupon Code: LB96Y

How to download my e-book FREE

1. Go to http://www.smashwords.com/books/view/23181
2. Click Add to Cart
3. Sign up
4. Input coupon code (LB96Y)
5. Download e-book

In The News: Lessons From The Successful Investor

Media

Since self-publishing my e-book, Lessons From The Successful Investor, reception has been great! Thus far, Lessons From The Successful Investor has been featured in The Globe and Mail, Mississauga News, and moneyville.ca.

The Globe and Mail
Investor blazes his own path

Mississauga News
Grad student publishes e-book

moneyville
23-year-old writes book on investing

Competitive Advantage: How to Find Stocks With Competitive Advantage

Investing

Competitively Advantaged
The successful investor only invests in a business with clear competitive advantage. Warren Buffett depicted competitive advantage as a moat, whereby competitors could not breach it to penetrate a business’s fortress. A business enjoys competitive advantage by creating a strong brand, possessing pricing power, offering niche customer service, or operating in an oligopoly, among others. In effect, a competitively advantaged business attracts and retains loyal customers. For example, Coca Cola is widely consumed as a result of its strong brand recognition. If one were to receive $1 billon from a venture capitalist, would he be able destroy Coca Cola’s market share in the soft drink industry? Absolutely not. Similarly, Wal-Mart is widely known to have the lowest prices in the industry. Consumers flock loyally to Wal-Mart, not Zellers. To stress then is that the successful investor invests in competitively advantaged businesses because he knows consumer loyalty to those businesses is like an addicts addiction; predictable and virtually impossible to break. Moreover, most favourable, however difficult to find, is a business that enjoys several competitive advantages.

Case Study: Competitive Advantage of a Strong Brand
Establishing competitive advantage in the clothing retail industry is incredibly difficult, which is why malls are so popular. Consumers likely visit multiple stores in order to find a top or pair of jeans, demonstrating no loyalty to one store. These clothing retailers then operate much like commodity businesses. However, there are juggernauts in the clothing retail industry. These juggernauts strategically established luxury brand appeal, a clear competitive advantage, to ensure consumer loyalty. For example, some consumers consistently seek Gucci, Coach or Louis Vitton products. Price is no barrier. One will never find a 60% off sale for a Gucci purse because there are people that will pay $500 for a Gucci purse, time and time again.

Case Study: Competitive Advantage of Pricing Power
The successful investor does not invest in a business with little or no pricing power, for he knows one of the most detrimental forces to a business is inflation, which can average 3% annually. A business that can raise its prices annually by more than inflation, such as Starbucks, is then competitively advantaged. Could McDonald’s harness the same pricing power for its coffee that Starbucks enjoys? Absolutely not. And yet, in 2008, common investor sentiment was McDonald’s new McCafe would rapidly entrench on Starbucks core business model. The successful investor shrugged off this negative sentiment, however, for he knew Starbucks customers well, reasoning they would not migrate to McDonald’s coffee based solely on lower prices. The common investor also discounted Starbucks during the financial crisis, forecasting consumers would tighten their belts and forever spend less, in turn declaring Starbucks doomed with its $5 Frappuccino. However, the successful investor simply visited several Starbucks locations to discover business was booming.

Case Study: Competitive Advantage in Niche Customer Service
North West Company Fund manages a portfolio of general department stores that, with the exception of one, most have likely never heard of: Northern, North Mart, AC Value Centre, and Giant Tiger. Aside from Giant Tiger, these department stores operate in the remote, northern regions of Canada. Indeed, North West Company Fund possesses clear competitive advantage in that no other business wants to operate in those remote regions of Canada. From this, North West Company was able to develop a strong relationship with its primarily Native Canadian customers. Further, selling to Native Canadians ensures North West Company almost guaranteed growth since the Canadian government subsidizes the income of Native Canadians. In essence then, North West Company consistently collects that government subsidized income when Native Canadians shop at its stores.

Case Study: Competitive Advantage of the Oligopoly
Canadian banks are undoubtedly the world’s most secure banks. The big five – TD, RBC, CIBC, ScotiaBank and BMO – weathered the storm that was the financial crisis from 2007 to 2009. Canadian banks are secure because its management is disciplined. For instance, investments are cautiously pursued, complex derivatives are largely avoided, mortgage policies are stringent, and most importantly, Canadian banks do not employ cowboys with itchy trigger fingers, unlike U.S. banks. However, Canadian banks charge high fees on accounts, chequing, withdrawals, over draft, trades, and the list goes on. And yet, in Canada, the majority of residents hold their money in either one of the “big five” banks, which is clearly the banks’ competitive advantage. Indeed, the Canadian banking system is essentially an oligopoly, an excellent reality for shareholders of a Canadian bank, not so excellent a reality for customers. Intelligently, the successful investor hedges the impact of high Canadian bank fees by becoming a shareholder in one of the “big five”.

Stock Valuation: Top 22 Metrics to Find Value Stocks

Investing

1. Brand. The business must possess a readily identifiable brand with favourable consumer perception.
2. Growth. The business must be able to grow its market share domestically and/or globally.
3. Track Record. The business must have a track record; else one cannot project its future.
4. Relevancy. The business must be relevant in multiple markets in that the business can expand its products into varying countries with ease.
5. Management. The business must possess able managers that focus on building shareholder value by; maintaining high return on equity, buying back shares, and owning personal stake in the business.
6. Competitive Advantage. The business must possess such a strong competitive advantage that other businesses fail to entrench on its market.
7. Earnings. The business must be growing its earnings over time.
8. Pricing Power. The business must be able to increase prices over time in line with inflation or greater.
9. Return on Equity. The business must enjoy high return on equity. Otherwise, it is not building shareholder value.
10. Consistency. The business must be consistent. The inconsistent business changes with the wind.
11. Profit Margin. The business must generate consistently high profit margins.
12. Personal Appeal. The business must appeal to you. You must love to such an extent its products or services that you can endorse the business without hesitation.
13. Book Value. The business must be growing its book value and, in turn, its underlying value.
14. Simplicity. The business must be selling a product or service that anyone can understand.
15. Repeat Use. The business must sell a product or service that is purchased consistently and continuously by the consumer.
16. Utility. The business must possess lasting utility such that underlying its brand, its products or services satisfy a consumer need or want.
17. Market Leader. The business must be a market leader. The market leader enjoys little competition.
18. Consumer Base. The business must enjoy a large consumer base, preferably both domestically and globally, so that it is not plagued by volatile revenues.
19. Employee Morale. The business’s employees must be happy to work there. A happy top line creates a better bottom line.
20. Adaptability. A quality business must be relevant forever by understanding how to sell in future markets.
21. Self Growth. The business must not grow by financing credit but instead grow by effectively allocating its retained earnings.
22. Debt. The business must not be burdened by significant long term debt, otherwise risk staggered growth.

Manulife Financial: Stock Valuation

Investing

>Originally written July, 2010

Manulife Financial is North America’s largest and the world’s fourth largest insurance business. Although Manulife Financial’s main operations are located in North America, it controls significant operations in Asia, spanning ten countries there. And while the successful investor values highly Manulife Financial, the common investor currently does not. Manulife Financial, as of July 2010, traded with a historically low P/E of 7.49. The common investor feels that because Manulife Financial did not hedge its segregated funds before the financial crisis, that each stock market correction will effectively hammer it. However, Manulife Financial’s portfolio consists of quality holdings; real estate in Canada, USA and Asia totalling $6 billion, stock’s totalling $5.3 billion, and money market funds and bonds totalling billions. Finally, even as Manulife Financial increasingly hedges its segregated funds, targeting a 70% hedge by 2012, common investor sentiment is “too little too late”. However, by comparing Manulife Financial’s underlying business to that of Great-West Life Co, another Canadian insurance business, one should conclude Manulife Financial’s stock is grossly undervalued.

First, Manulife Financial’s $29 billion book value is higher than its $28 billion market capitalization. Evidently, the successful investor can buy a piece of Manulife Financial for no premium. Second, Manulife Financial’s cash holdings and investments are substantial. Manulife Financial’s management is clearly maximizing its float – the money it receives from policy holders that is then invested or held in cash holdings. And overall, Great-West Lifeco’s fundamentals pale in comparison to those of Manulife Financial. However, Great-West Lifeco’s market capitalization falls only $4 billion short of that of Manulife’s. Further, because Manulife Financial is not trading with a premium, the successful investor would unlock its cash value. As of 2010, Manulife Financial held $19 billion in cash holdings, which comprised 68% of its market capitalization and 66% of its book value. However, before unlocking Manulife Financials cash value, the successful investor would take into account its $6 billion in long term debt. The equation to unlock Manulife’s cash value helps valuate Manulife Financial’s real stock price:

Manulife Financial’s real stock price = actual stock price [$15] + (cash per share [$10.8] – long term debt per share [$3.52])

Finally, the equation delivers Manulife’s real stock price, $22.28, an increase of 49% over its actual $15 stock price.

Why a Stock Increases

Investing

The successful investor invests in a stock not based on its momentum, but on its underlying value, earnings, and future earnings potential. To emphasize, a stock’s price is driven by its growth over the long term. Logically, if earnings increase, a business will grow. For example, the successful investor would invest currently in Wal-Mart’s stock because he believes Wal-Mart’s market capitalization will be higher in 2040. While the successful investor cannot predict Wal-Mart’s future growth with utmost accuracy, he can with some certainty project its future growth based on its past growth. Thus, if by 2040, Wal-Mart triples its net income to $42 billion, Wal-Mart’s stock price, and in effect its market capitalization, should also triple to about $150 and $540 billion respectively, returning 10% compounded annually from 2010 to 2040. However, understand that a stock’s price increases in line with its underlying growth only in the long term. In the short term, a stock’s price increases in line with investor sentiment. As Ben Graham, the father of value investing, once said, “in the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run it is a weighing machine.”

Top 10 Best Investing Books

Investing

After reading 100+ books on investing, I share the top 10 best investing books below. These 10 investing books are essential reading and will formulate the core principles of your investing strategies. I added my book, Lessons From The Successful Investor, to the list as I am confident it will be an investing classic in due time.

1. The Essays of Warren Buffet, Lawrence Cunningham
2. Poor Charlie’s Almanack, Charlie Munger
3. The Intelligent Investor, Ben Graham
4. Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits, Philip Fisher
5. One Up On Wall Street, Peter Lynch
6. The Snowball, Alice Shroeder
7. The Investment Zoo, Stephen Jarislowsky
8. Super Stocks, Ken Fisher
9. The Richest Man in Babylon, George S. Clason
10. Lessons From The Successful Investor, Robin R. Speziale

The Antiquity Theory

Investing

My uncle has worked in the antique market for over 15 years. Over that extensive period, he has indulged our family with the countless successes he has had. However, he explains that like the stock market, the antique business has its ups and downs. But like the successful investor, my uncle has persisted with the antique business and has in turn earned significant returns.

Firstly, my uncle sticks to a disciplined buying plan. He does not over pay for an antique at auction. For if he were to overpay, his returns on that antique would suffer. However, if he comes upon a rare opportunity, essentially finding a quality, high demand antique, in which knows has eager collectors, he will pay a small premium.

Secondly, he buys antiques that he understands. He has studied a significant amount about antiques, and has effectively acquired a niche in certain antiques. Thus, when my uncle attends antique auctions, he can efficiently appraise the fair value of those antiques he understands. My uncle explains that the best buying opportunity at an auction is when he knows more about an antique than other buyers present. With that advantage, he can effectively bid lower or at fair value to acquire an antique, while others remain perplexed by its value.

Thirdly, he likes to buy old and rare antiques. He explains that some in the antique market purchase relatively new items, hoping in the future those items become valuable antiques. However, he considers that approach to be a guessing game and thus sticks to buying antiques that he knows bear value now.

Fourthly, he explains that he buys antiques that possess a market of loyal collectors. Thus, he focuses his purchases on quality, brand name antiques. If he were to buy an obscure antique that antique would likely possess a small group of collectors. However, Coca Cola memorabilia, for instance, possesses a vast group of collectors that create constant demand. Conversely, my uncle explains that buying an antique that is in high supply in the market is not an intelligent decision. For instance, because those antiques such as Royal Doulton were mass produced in the past, their current antiquity is not rare and hence not valued highly by most collectors.

Finally, he stresses again that like the stock market, the antique market is full with amateur antique buyers. However, he likes this since he can buy valuable antiques without those amateurs knowing their true value.

My uncle represents, like the successful investor, an individual who can beat the market. He beats the antique market in that he is able to achieve higher returns on his antique purchases because he knows how to valuate an antique; measuring its auction price against its true value and formulating a return on investment on the spot. In all, his example is another reason, besides the psychological deficiency theory, to discount the market efficiency theory. For instance, the efficient market theory would assert that buyers at an antique auction contained all available information on present antiques and hence the true value of those antiques would be known and effectively priced in. A bargain antique, then, would not exist. However, my uncle purchases antiques at bargain prices consistently, because he knows more than the average buyer. And in turn, he can sell those mispriced antiques and gain 500% return at times.

– – –
Chapter from my e-book Lessons From The Successful Investor
Available for the Kindle, Kobo, Sony e-reader, iPhone, iPad, and more
>Buy my e-book